Bad Homburg Open 2025: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

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Match Details

Fixture: (1) Jessica Pegula vs (5) Emma Navarro

Date: June 26, 2025

Tournament: Bad Homburg Open

Round: Quarterfinal

Venue: Bad Homburg Tennis Club, Bad Homburg, Germany

Category: WTA 500

Surface: Grass

Prize Money: $1,064,510

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports


Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro preview

 Getty)Jessica Pegula at the Bad Homburg Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Top 10 players Jessica Pegula and Emma Navarro will clash in a quarterfinal showdown at the Bad Homburg Open 2025.

Pegula received a bye into the second round, where Katerina Siniakova awaited her. The American seized control of the first set rather quickly, reeling off five consecutive games to take the set.

The match continued to be played on Pegula's terms in the second set as well. She went up a break at the onset of the set to take the lead. However, Siniakova overcame the break deficit to get back on serve. The top seed wasn't to be denied though and went on a three-game run to register a 6-2, 6-3 victory.

Navarro beat Marta Kostyuk 6-2, 7-5 in her opener to set up a second-round meeting against four-time Major champion Naomi Osaka. The American found herself in a pickle after conceding her break advantage in the first set. However, she regrouped in no time, bagging three games on the trot to clinch the set.

The two remained steady on serve for quite a while in the second set, though both held a few break point chances. Navarro had the last laugh in the end, sweeping the final three games of the set for a 6-4, 6-4 win.


Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro head-to-head

Pegula leads Navarro 1-0 in the head-to-head. She won their previous meeting at last year's Miami Open in straight sets.


Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Jessica Pegula-165+1.5 (-425)
Over 21.5 (-130)
Emma Navarro+130-1.5 (+250)
Under 21.5 (-110)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro prediction

 Getty)Emma Navarro at the Bad Homburg Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Pegula had a disappointing start to her grass season, failing to win a match as the defending champion in Berlin a week ago. She got back on track this week with her win over Siniakova, winning 87 percent of points behind her first serve.

Navarro's win over Osaka marked the first time she won back-to-back matches in over two months. It was her second win over the former World No. 1 on grass, having ousted her from Wimbledon a year ago as well.

Pegula beat Navarro during her rise to the top in Miami last year. While the latter posted some impressive results in the second half of 2024, she hasn't showcased the same level of consistency this year.

Navarro has won three matches in a row just twice this season, first en route to the quarterfinals of the Australian Open and then during her title-winning run in Merida. While both have shown the necessary skills to thrive on grass, Pegula seems better positioned to win this contest based on their results this year.

Pick: Jessica Pegula to win in straight sets.

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Rohit

Rohit is a journalist at Sportskeeda who specializes in covering tennis. Having been with the company for three years, he has proven himself as a formidable force in the field. With a Master's degree in law, Rohit brings his analytical and research skills to the forefront as a journalist. He stays on top of the game by using social media platforms and never misses a match for on-court insights. He values giving credit where it's due, keeping his reporting fair and accurate.

At the outset of his career, Rohit found his niche in writing previews and SEO pieces and it's this expertise that continues to define his role at Sportskeeda. He is particularly proud of one article that garnered an impressive 750k views and surpassed his "wildest dreams." Rohit is not particularly fond of (GOAT) debates and it is one of the reasons why he left the legal world behind. He prefers to view players in "tiers," where they're all esteemed to an extent. However, if pressed to name favorites, he would choose Serena and Venus Williams. The Williams sisters' journey from humble beginnings to the pinnacle of tennis has been his greatest source of inspiration.

When he isn't busy making spot-on predictions about match outcomes, Rohit likes reading, particularly fantasy, sci-fi, and comics. As an X-Men fanatic, he's also passionate about board games and enjoys watching movies in his spare time. And don't be surprised if you catch him silently wishing to the tennis gods for the removal of ad scoring from doubles.

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