3M Open predictions: PGA Tour picks, odds, best bets for TPC Twin Cities

The 3M Open is the calm after the storm. With all four majors now in the books, the PGA Tour calendar hits a bit of a lull before the FedEx Cup Playoffs begin on Aug. 13 with the St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind.

It’s an unenviable spot in the rotation for a tournament, as most of the game’s biggest names opt to skip the long trip from the United Kingdom to Minnesota for the 3M.

One player who is making the sojourn to the Twin Cities is Scottie Scheffler.

Still “stuck” on just one win in 2026, Scheffler is a ridiculous +240 favorite to lift the trophy at TPC Twin Cities. Interestingly, this is the first time that the World No. 1 has ever played in this event.

Last year’s winner, Kurt Kitayama, and Maverick McNealy are joint second-favorites all the way down at 25/1. Hideki Matsuyama, who was in the triple-digits at the Open Championship last week, is next up at 30/1 along with Tom Kim.

Highly-touted prospect Jackson Koivun is all the way down at 33/1, and will be a trendy pick after finishing T10 at the ISCO Championship two weeks ago. This is the Auburn product’s second tournament since turning pro at the John Deere Classic, where he missed the cut.

Even with Scheffler in the mix, this is one of the weakest fields we’ll see all year, so it’s no wonder that the 20-time PGA Tour winner is sitting at such a short number.

He could win this tournament with his B-game, but some factors are going against him. He will have just traveled about 4,000 miles after Sunday’s final round at Royal Birkdale, and he’s making his tournament debut.

Scottie Scheffler has one win during the 2026 campaign. Getty Images

That may sound nitpicky, especially since TPC Twin Cities is a pretty soft course (six players finished at 20-under or better in 2025), but it’s enough to keep me off Scheffler at this ridiculous price.

Perhaps the best way to play Scheffler is to be patient, see if he falls behind the pack a bit in Round 1, and then try to grab him at a discounted price.

For now, we’ll swerve Scheffler and try to find some value on a trio of players down the board:

2026 3M Open picks

Tom Kim (30/1, FanDuel)

A fortnight after hitting Tom Kim at 85/1 at the Scottish Open, we’ll back him to make it two wins in three weeks.

A missed cut at Royal Birkdale shouldn’t throw any cold water on what Kim has been doing lately. The South Korean has finished 15th or better in four of his last eight starts, including his win at the Renaissance Club and a third-place showing at the U.S. Open.

Those setups are very different from the 3M Open, but he’s just a few weeks removed from a T6 at the Myrtle Beach Classic, which was a birdie-fest.

Emiliano Grillo (100/1, DraftKings)

Something about TPC Twin Cities agrees with Emiliano Grillo.

The Argentinian has played this tournament six years in a row, and he’s had a couple of near-misses. Grillo was the runner-up to Tony Finau in 2022, and he finished third on debut in 2020. He also landed inside the top 10 in 2023.

Grillo missed the last two weeks for the birth of his son, so we’ll bet on him bringing some good vibes to one of his happy places.

Lucas Glover has posted back-to-back top-5 finishes. Getty Images

Lucas Glover (115/1, DraftKings)

Lucas Glover has been knocking on the door lately.

The 2009 U.S. Open champion was atop the leaderboard after 54 holes at his last two tournaments, the John Deere Classic and ISCO Championship, but had to settle for a T3 at the former and a T5 at the latter.

Facing a similar field on a similar course, Glover is still saddled with triple-digit odds, despite having a rest advantage over plenty of the best players in this field.

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.