It feels like the Lakers are close to putting together a winning performance in at least one of their games against the Thunder in their second-round playoff series.
But their 18-point losses in Game 1 and Game 2 in Oklahoma City suggest they aren’t as close as it feels.
The series shifts to Los Angeles for Game 3 on Saturday and Game 4 on Monday, with the Lakers looking to avoid falling into the dreaded 0-3 hole — a series deficit no team in NBA history has overcome.
If the Lakers want to have a shot at winning the best-of-seven series, they need to make a few adjustments for Game 3:
Zone defense
The Lakers spent a significant chunk of the regular season deploying a zone defense.
And yet, they haven’t played zone during the playoffs.
The Thunder faced the second-most zone defense in the league this season, scoring 1.005 points per possession (ranked 20th), compared with the 1.039 points per possession they score when playing against man-to-man defense (ranked second).
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The Lakers played zone defense the third most of any team this season, allowing 0.955 points per possession (ranked sixth in the NBA).
The Lakers have stuck with putting two on the ball when Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the ball handler.
It’s produced the results they’ve wanted when it comes to limiting Gilgeous-Alexander, who’s averaged 20 points and five turnovers to go with four assists through the first two games. The Lakers are getting the ball out of his hands and forcing other Thunder players to make plays.
The problem for the Lakers is that the “others” have been making those plays when the Lakers’ defense voluntarily puts itself in rotation.
The Thunder are scoring 1.75 points per possession in the playoffs when their opponent sends a double team on isolations — which is by far the highest mark in the league. And when teams have doubled Gilgeous-Alexander’s isos during the regular season and playoffs, the Thunder are scoring 1.286 points per possession, an elite mark.
The Thunder are comfortable when the Lakers put two on the ball against Gilgeous-Alexander.
The Lakers need to throw in different looks more consistently. Playing zone defense again, even if it’s only in doses, should be part of the equation.
Attack Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Another way to limit Gilgeous-Alexander is attacking him on the other end of the floor, which the Lakers did once Game 2 was pretty much decided.
Austin Reaves kept having the Laker that Gilgeous-Alexander was defending, which was Luke Kennard at the time, set ball screens late in the fourth quarter when the Thunder had full control.
Gilgeous-Alexander was hedging to try to avoid switching.
The Thunder may not have been as locked in defensively as they were earlier in the game, but the Lakers were creating the kind of advantages they wanted.
If they have a similar strategy in Game 3, it could help them wear down Gilgeous-Alexander in other ways outside of the defensive double teams.
Less switching
The Lakers’ 1-5 switching is allowing the Thunder to pick their preferred matchups, even if the Lakers show up or double like they have with Gilgeous-Alexander.
Even if the Thunder aren’t scoring on the first shot, mismatches are in the Thunder’s favor, leading to easier offensive rebounding opportunities for Thunder players including Chet Holmgren.
Being more judicious with the switching could help the Lakers on the defensive glass, which is an area they need to win to have a chance of beating the Thunder.
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