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As we approach the final stretch of the 2026 Premier League Darts season, the play-off race will continue to heat up in the final few weeks.
A couple of players have already nearly booked their ticket to The O2 Arena, while others have made it very hard for themselves to make play-off night.
We have a good idea of a handful of players who will make or miss out on play-off night, but the race for the last 1-2 spots could go to anyone in the mix.
2026 Premier League Darts play-off race scenarios
Let's take a look at what four players have the best chance of making Night 17 in London.
MORE: 2026 Premier League Darts schedule, scores, results and updated table
Jonny Clayton
Play-off probability: 99%
While Clayton hasn't clinched a play-off spot just yet, it would take a real meltdown for him not to grab one.
He's one of the favorites to finish at the top of the table, and at worst, would finish in second place if Littler passes him in the points column.
Luke Littler
Play-off probability: 90%
Littler has had his ups and downs this season, but with five nights left, he's 11 points clear of fifth place.
25 points seems to be around enough to get to The O2, so another 2-3 points should do the job to guarantee Littler a spot in the UK's capital.
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Gerwyn Price
Play-off probability: 75%
Price has been explosive at times in the PL this year and has been in form at Pro Tour events and majors.
Points-wise, he's six ahead of fifth place, so he still has some work to do before cruising to the finish line.
Michael van Gerwen
Play-off probability: 54%
MVG would be in the clear if the season ended today, but it doesn't, and he has a lot of work to do to book his ticket.
He had a rare absence from play-off night last year, and will have players like Humphries, van Veen and Bunting fighting with him for presumably the last play-off spot up for grabs.
Some quarterfinal consistency from MVG over the next month could be enough, but he might need to find around 10 points over the next five weeks to ensure he gets into the play-offs.
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Luke Humphries
Play-off probability: 49%
Humphries has performed much better than MVG in events across the last 12 months, but MVG has had quality performances for patches across 2026.
Humphries himself is going to have to turn the tide soon and get several 2-3 point nights to have a shot at grabbing one of the last spots.
Stephen Bunting
Play-off probability: 43%
Although Bunting is currently in 7th place, his form and momentum signify he has a better shot at making the play-off than van Veen.
Bunting faces a five point deficit entering Night 12, and despite being 7th on the table, he has the 5th-best leg difference in the PL in 2026.
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Gian van Veen
Play-off probability: 40%
Van Veen hasn't been consistent since returning from his mid-season procedure, and will have to fight tooth and nail to make his first PL play-off night.
He's still within reach of a play-off spot, but he'll need some deep nightly runs to make up the four-point deficit he faces entering Night 12.
Josh Rock
Play-off probability: 15%
Rock's PL debut hasn't gone to plan.
He's found some wins in recent weeks, but it might be too little too late.
He's eight points behind MVG for 4th place, so it will take a couple of runs to night finals for Rock to have any shot at making it to London.
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